This is always a guessing game. I did a show that sounds exactly like what you describe last November. It was 3 day weekend, three consecutive weekends. Average attendance over the last few years is 55,000.
I brought approx 4000 bars of soap. Some sold out right away, some didn't move at all. But it turned out to be way to much soap. There are well over 200 vendors at this thing, along with fire pits, sled dogs, ice sculptors, carolers, live bands, petting zoos, tons of ready to eat food - the fresh doughnuts, hotdogs, donairs, popcorn - anything you can even think of.
And here is what I came up with - after spending a good bit of time walking around and talking with other vendors, as well as my own observations and those of my helpers in my booth.
This is more of a destination event - not a shopping experience. People don't really come here to shop. They come for the events, the atmosphere, the food, the millions of christmas lights, but not to spend money on gifts. Every single vendor - every single one - that I talked to was hugely disappointed in sales. Tons of people - but they were lookers, not shoppers.
The organizers charge over $2000 for a booth, and with attendance of 55,000 is seems worth it. Yes, I made a profit, but not nearly enough to justify the hassle. It was no more profit than I made doing smaller shows the year before.
So....maybe your big show will be different. I sincerely hope so. My best advice it to try to contact some of the vendors from previous years and get their take on it.
good luck!
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