HI Carrie,
I think that sometimes both your costs, profit, overhead, etc AND the going rate have to come into play. If you do the math on the first set of variables, then you come up with a number. But no matter what that number is, in any given area, the average consumer is only going to pay a certain amount. Yes, you can always say, "well, a discerning consumer who knows 'what's what' will pay $X for this great soap." Ok, maybe,... but are there enough of those kinds of consumers to make it profitable? And in most markets, there are probably a LOT of crafters who are only in it as a hobby, and they don't mind selling their soap and barely (if that) making their costs back. So that undercuts what you might need to charge and they get the sales instead of you.
ON the other hand, if you make a LOT of soap, you can buy in serious bulk and get your costs down that way. But that is a lot of money to invest on the front end before paying customers, either retail or wholesale, show up with their cash.
What we, or the consumer, might see as a really great soap (essential oils, natural colorants, expensive butters) may be hard to make a consistent profit on... but a simpler recipe, with FOs, less $$ oils, etc - might have a better chance.
Just my 2 cents. Personally, I do not wholesale my soap. It is a 'retail only' product, because the profit margins are just too low to be worth it. (I am also in Canada, where all supplies cost a lot more, but the price people will pay for handmade soap is still the same as the U.S) My other body products are available wholesale, and the margins are a lot higher there.
Your mileage may vary
